Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LINK prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 0.003360 0.003740 0.004135 0.004575 0.005051 0.005550 0.006112
2025-11-23 0.002792 0.003333 0.003926 0.004620 0.005407 0.006269 0.007281
2025-11-30 0.002478 0.003113 0.003835 0.004710 0.005736 0.006893 0.008288
2025-12-07 0.002233 0.002931 0.003751 0.004774 0.006005 0.007427 0.009181
2025-12-14 0.001973 0.002700 0.003580 0.004707 0.006097 0.007737 0.009800
2025-12-21 0.001789 0.002542 0.003478 0.004706 0.006253 0.008114 0.010494
2025-12-28 0.001592 0.002349 0.003316 0.004615 0.006284 0.008327 0.010983
2026-01-04 0.001439 0.002200 0.003197 0.004564 0.006355 0.008582 0.011521
2026-01-11 0.001300 0.002057 0.003075 0.004499 0.006398 0.008797 0.012004
2026-01-18 0.001212 0.001980 0.003033 0.004535 0.006569 0.009173 0.012693
2026-01-25 0.001115 0.001880 0.002954 0.004514 0.006659 0.009441 0.013246
2026-02-01 0.001047 0.001819 0.002924 0.004555 0.006830 0.009815 0.013938
2026-02-08 0.000994 0.001779 0.002926 0.004647 0.007081 0.010310 0.014815
2026-02-15 0.000932 0.001720 0.002897 0.004693 0.007268 0.010724 0.015594
2026-02-22 0.000887 0.001686 0.002901 0.004784 0.007518 0.011226 0.016496
2026-03-01 0.000840 0.001643 0.002888 0.004848 0.007730 0.011677 0.017337
2026-03-08 0.000765 0.001548 0.002791 0.004781 0.007748 0.011861 0.017814
2026-03-15 0.000711 0.001486 0.002740 0.004780 0.007861 0.012174 0.018471
2026-03-22 0.000643 0.001392 0.002633 0.004687 0.007834 0.012288 0.018852
2026-03-29 0.000590 0.001320 0.002555 0.004636 0.007864 0.012481 0.019344
2026-04-05 0.000538 0.001246 0.002472 0.004570 0.007869 0.012636 0.019781
2026-04-12 0.000508 0.001212 0.002453 0.004606 0.008029 0.013014 0.020539
2026-04-19 0.000471 0.001160 0.002401 0.004585 0.008097 0.013260 0.021110